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Answer a few questions β the engine handles WBS, risk ranges, correlation & contingency.
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Guided mode. Detailed editing & advanced rigor live behind Refine / Advanced.
Budget to P80
β
80% confidence at or under this
Point estimate
β
β
Contingency
β
to P80
Cost S-curve (probability of coming in at or under)
Sensitivity β top cost drivers
Confidence levels & distribution
Cost breakdown
Detailed editor β line items, methods & risk (%)
Item
Method
Inputs
Risk lo / likely / hi
Value
Markups
Custom line items
+ Add line item
Direct + markups (point)
β
Advanced rigor
Market correlation between items β Ο =
0.50
Higher Ο = items move together (systemic risk) β wider tail, more contingency.
Risk distribution model (all items)
Triangular (default)
PERT β smoother
Lognormal β right-skewed
Sensitivity β top cost drivers
Cross-checks β estimate an item a second way
Item
Second method
Second-opinion $
Build-up (qty Γ unit)
Parametric CER
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